Daniel Kokotajlo
AI Futures Project · Ex-OpenAI staffer · Former OpenAI researcher · Ex-OpenAI researcher
Titles as the sources gave them. In 7 entries, with 5 checked quotations.
Who they are
Roles and parties from Wikidata and from the sources in the Base, as precise as each gives them. When we compare what groups say, each statement counts in the group the person belonged to that day.
What they said
Newest first. Each quotation was found word for word in the source.
“he thinks that about a year from now uh they're going to be putting Claude in charge of everything at the company, and there's about a 5% chance that at this point it'll already be plotting against them.”
“the core problem is that most of the world just doesn't yet believe that it's really going to happen.”
“I think that once people realize that that these companies might actually build super intelligence in the next few years, I think the obvious conclusion of almost all people is going to be they shouldn't be allowed to do that.”
“the simpler, more straightforward plan is plan S for shut it down. Um and uh I think that plan is extremely good as well and that's why I'm here in support.”
“I don’t think the companies can be trusted to self-regulate”
In the Base
Every entry they appear in.
Against SURA
In a long essay, Scott Alexander argues against "SURA" (Stop Unilaterally + Raise Awareness), the view that AI companies, employees and countries should stop alone. Alexander says this weakens the backup plan of a coordinated lead-burning pause and may even hurt the odds of a global pause.
Was this the AI election?
Transformer's weekly briefing argues that AI is not a top issue for most voters before the US midterms, but that campaigns' behaviour suggests it matters at the margin. It also summarises Anthropic's IPO filing, new congressional letters, and OpenAI's training-environment fix.
Daniel Kokotajlo: An Anthropic Researcher Dismissed a 5% Risk of Claude Plotting
According to the description, ControlAI posts a clip of ex-OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo telling MPs that an Anthropic researcher saw a 5% chance of Claude plotting against people, once research is handed to AI, as not a big deal. Kokotajlo puts the chance nearer 50% and calls industry risk tolerance very high.
Daniel Kokotajlo: "Most of the World Just Doesn't Yet Believe That It's Really Going to Happen"
In a seven-minute speech at ControlAI's London event, Daniel Kokotajlo of the AI Futures Project recounts conversations with AI researchers, including an Anthropic alignment researcher's estimate of a 5 percent chance of a plotting model, and backs a plan to shut down superintelligence development.
OpenAI and Anthropic Tell British Lawmakers: Regulate Us
Wired reports on the Commons Business, Innovation, Science and Trade Committee's October 13 session. It says Anthropic and OpenAI representatives backed new laws, OpenAI more cautiously, Google DeepMind and Meta did not, and officials described the UK regime as voluntary. A ControlAI clip shows an MP questioning OpenAI about a delay in telling Australia's government of an incident.
Big Tech Execs Asked: Is There A Chance AI Can Escape Human Control And Cause 'Catastrophic Harm?'
Forbes Breaking News posted clips of the New York City Council's 5 October 2026 hearing, where Google, Meta, OpenAI and Anthropic representatives testified under oath. Titles and descriptions say the questions covered catastrophic harm, the RAISE Act, legal liability, hospitals, cyber defense, self-generating code, privacy breaches, ICE and children's AI addiction. amNY reports none gave a risk figure.
Ex-OpenAI Researcher to US Senate: Investigating AI Companies Is Like Jurassic Park
According to the video description, Daniel Kokotajlo, an ex-OpenAI researcher, told the US Senate that a restricted investigation into OpenAI's rogue AIs is like probing one incident while blocked from asking about other escapes.