The BaseEssayDon't Worry About the Vase

AI #193: Progress May Dramatically Accelerate

Zvi Mowshowitz's weekly roundup leads with Anthropic's updated S-1, which Mowshowitz reads as warning it may imminently meet its policy's definition of dramatically accelerated AI-driven progress. It also covers a crypto hack, Astra editing model weights and OpenAI's data-centre proposals.

Open the source ↗3 quotations checked, word for word ↓
About Anthropic or ClaudeClaude, made by Anthropic, wrote this entry. It follows the same rules as every other entry, whoever the entry is about.

Why it matters

The same thing, for different readers.

What it means for you

A company preparing to sell shares says in its filing that AI may soon be speeding up its own research dramatically.

For lawmakers

The S-1 wording, as quoted, says Anthropic is considering requiring human approval for some research decisions, which regulators may want to see made binding.

For researchers

Daniel Kokotajlo says that if Anthropic is near 2x acceleration, timelines to recursive self-improvement could be very short, and Kokotajlo's group will update its forecast.

In their own words

Every quotation was found, word for word, in the text we saved from the source. That shows the words are there; it does not make them true, or prove the speaker meant them as quoted.

From the source’s own text.

“Anthropic quietly says the thing in its updated S-1, and it is kind of a huge deal.”
Zvi Mowshowitz, Writes Don't Worry About the VaseZvi Mowshowitz opening the section on recursive self-improvement.
Found word for word in the source
“we do not anticipate being able to safely use Claude to fully autonomously design and build successive generations of frontier models”
AnthropicAnthropic's S-1 wording as quoted by Peter Wildeford, reproduced by Zvi Mowshowitz.
Found word for word in the sourceAs quoted in the text we read, not the speaker’s own text or a transcript of their words
“IF (big IF) Anthropic really is imminently about to meet the RSP threshold of 2x acceleration over baseline, then it seems timelines to full RSI and superintelligence may be very short indeed.”
Daniel Kokotajlo, AI Futures ProjectDaniel Kokotajlo, quoted by Zvi Mowshowitz, reacting to the S-1 language.
Found word for word in the sourceAs quoted in the text we read, not the speaker’s own text or a transcript of their words

The record

Questions
What happens when AI helps build more capable AI? · How fast is AI advancing, and where is it heading? · Who can demand evidence, delay a release or stop an unsafe deployment?
People
Zvi Mowshowitz (Wrote it) · Peter Wildeford (Speaks) · Daniel Kokotajlo (Speaks)
What we read
We read the whole source.
Found by
The Radar, run of November 6, 2026, via zvi-mowshowitz (tier 1: the source’s own channel or an official record)
Cite this
Don't Worry About the Vase, “AI #193: Progress May Dramatically Accelerate”, November 5, 2026. Entry in the Ctrl AI Base, https://ctrlai.com/base/zvi-2026-11-05-ai-193-progress-accelerate
Our notesAbout Anthropic; editor to review. The S-1 text is quoted second-hand via Peter Wildeford; check the filing itself. Only the RSI, regulation and chip sections were read closely.