Hannah Rubinton
Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Titles as the sources gave them. In 1 entry, with 4 checked quotations.
What they said
Newest first. Each quotation was found word for word in the source.
“Together, the AI categories contributed 0.97 percentage points to real GDP growth in the first three quarters of 2025 (0.90 percentage points, excluding data centers, for which data were not available in 2000), higher than the 0.81 percentage points in 2000.”
“Through the third quarter of 2025, these categories made up 39% (36% excluding data centers) of total GDP growth versus 28% in 2000.”
“Together the four categories contributed 1.3 percentage points to real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 and 1.16 percentage points to real GDP growth in the second quarter, but the combined contribution leveled off to 0.48 percentage points in the third quarter.”
“Our analysis suggests that the recent investments in AI-related categories have contributed significantly to the real GDP growth in 2025. It has surpassed the contribution of IT components to the real GDP growth made during the dot-com boom, both in levels and as a share of GDP.”
In the Base
Every entry they appear in.
Tracking AI’s Contribution to GDP Growth
Two St. Louis Fed researchers add up the growth contributions of information-processing equipment, software, R&D and data-center investment as AI-related spending. They report these supplied 39% of real GDP growth in the first three quarters of 2025 (36% without data centers) against 28% in 2000, which has no data-center figure, and fell back in the third quarter.