Thomas Larsen
Titles as the sources gave them. In 1 entry, with 3 checked quotations.
What they said
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“We estimate that METR’s report implies a 1.7x AI-attributable acceleration in the pace of progress today, relative to historical levels.”
“If SAR is coming in 2027, it is incredibly urgent to pause or substantially ‘pace’ frontier AI development, with the ideal being an industry-wide pause followed by an international agreement.”
“We aren’t sure what reasons Anthropic gave internally for redacting all of this important information, but we are very skeptical that Anthropic is fairly assessing the costs and benefits from an impartial perspective.”
In the Base
Every entry they appear in.
Q3.5 Timelines Update: Looks Like the Intelligence Explosion Will Happen in 2027 After All
In a linkpost from the AI Futures Project, Thomas Larsen and co-authors take METR's estimate of AI-driven acceleration at Anthropic as input to their models. They now forecast a Superhuman AI Researcher likely in 2027, call for a pause or pacing of frontier AI, and criticise Anthropic's redactions.