Rebecca Ceppas de Castro
Forecasting Research Institute
Titles as the sources gave them. In 1 entry, with 0 checked quotations.
Who they are
Roles and parties from Wikidata and from the sources in the Base, as precise as each gives them. When we compare what groups say, each statement counts in the group the person belonged to that day.
- Researcher, Forecasting Research Institutesource
In the Base
Every entry they appear in.
Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI
In a Chicago Fed working paper, researchers surveyed 69 economists, 52 AI industry and policy professionals, 38 superforecasters and 401 members of the public on AI's effects on the US economy. Unconditional forecasts stay near historical trends; under a rapid-progress scenario, economists forecast labor force participation falling to 55% by 2050. These are forecasts, not measurements.