mofeien
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P(Anyone Builds It & Everyone Dies) = 0.62?
On LessWrong, mofeien presents ArgMap, a tool that maps the argument of the book If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies and uses LLM readers to derive confidence numbers. The post reports that 66 of 67 claims land within 10 points of the authors' range, with the claim that everyone dies at 0.62 against 0.75 to 0.95.