Luke Muehlhauser
Managing director, AI Governance and International Policy team, Coefficient Giving
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“On the pessimistic side, I would say most institutions and projects and so on that need to exist to manage the situation well, don't exist. And there's nobody working on them at all in the world.”
“One very small example is the US has this AI Safety and Security Institute, now called CAISI, and its budget is $15 million a year.”
“You would think that any chain-of-thought-monitoring system would pick that up and flag it to somebody -- but they didn't discover it until after Hugging Face got hacked into and they called the FBI.”
“But they're still in a very intense race, and they strongly want to be in the lead and so on, so they're not willing to pay a lot of slowdown costs in order to do better on safety and security and risk mitigation and so on.”
“It wouldn't surprise me if future incidents of roughly that magnitude were coming every three-ish months from here on out, maybe accelerating over time. I think there will be many future moments.”
In the Base
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Luke Muehlhauser on the most important AI safety work nobody is doing
In a 156-minute 80,000 Hours interview recorded in August, Coefficient Giving grantmaker Luke Muehlhauser argues most institutions needed to manage AI do not exist, notes the US safety institute's $15 million budget, and lists organisations founders could start, from AI character evaluators to a chain-of-thought monitorability observatory, saying money is available but founders and grantmakers are scarce.