Jeffrey Olmo
Titles as the sources gave them. In 1 entry, with 4 checked quotations.
What they said
Newest first. Each quotation was found word for word in the source.
“We found that the gap between simulated and real was often about as small as the gap between two independent real runs.”
“Its error in predicting the main safety number is 3.6 percentage points, versus 10.1 for BashArena.”
“That said, we can only verify simulator fidelity in settings where real execution is possible, so applying SCEs to deployment involves some extrapolation.”
“The evidence is now strong enough that we’d be excited to see AI developers running them.”
In the Base
Every entry they appear in.
Simulated Control Evaluations
Redwood Research authors Jeffrey Olmo and Tyler describe a paper proposing simulated control evaluations, in which a language model fakes the tool outputs so attacks on AI agent monitors can be tested without executing them. They report that results track real execution closely in LinuxArena, and list limits.