Notes on “We’re in Triage Mode for AI Safety” by Miles Brundage

Chris_Leong posts reading notes on a Miles Brundage essay arguing that AI safety work is in triage mode. The notes add context, then collect views from Toby Ord, Eliezer Yudkowsky, Dwarkesh Patel and others for rejecting short timelines.

Why it matters

The same thing, for different readers.

What it means for you

Miles Brundage, formerly of OpenAI, expects AI risks can only be partly reduced; the post sets this against people who think progress is slower or less predictable.

For lawmakers

If Brundage's case holds, governments should expect to manage some harms rather than prevent them; the post notes others who would reject that planning stance.

The question it raises

The post asks whether planning for short timelines is wise, or whether broad uncertainty about when powerful AI arrives should shape what safety communities do.

In their own words

Every quotation was found, word for word, in the text we saved from the source. That shows the words are there; it does not make them true, or prove the speaker meant them as quoted.

From the source’s own text.

“At best, we’ll 80/20 it — mitigating 80% of the risks with 20% of the effort that we would have applied in a world with slower AI progress and an earlier start on serious governance”
Miles Brundage, formerly Senior Advisor for AGI Readiness, OpenAIMiles Brundage's essay on triage mode, as excerpted by Chris_Leong; the essay was not read directly.
Found word for word in the sourceAs quoted in the text we read, not the speaker’s own text or a transcript of their words
“AI that exceeds human performance in nearly every cognitive domain is almost certain to be built and deployed in the next few years.”
Miles Brundage, formerly Senior Advisor for AGI Readiness, OpenAIFrom Brundage's December 2024 post "Time's Up for AI Policy", quoted here to explain why Brundage sees so little time.
Found word for word in the sourceAs quoted in the text we read, not the speaker’s own text or a transcript of their words

The record

Questions
How fast is AI advancing, and where is it heading? · Who can demand evidence, delay a release or stop an unsafe deployment?
People
Chris Leong (Wrote it) · Miles Brundage (About them, formerly Senior Advisor for AGI Readiness, OpenAI) · Toby Ord (Mentioned) · Eliezer Yudkowsky (Mentioned) · Dwarkesh Patel (Mentioned)
What we read
We read the whole source.
Found by
The Radar, run of October 28, 2026, via ai-alignment-forum (tier 1: the source’s own channel or an official record)
Cite this
AI Alignment Forum, “Notes on “We’re in Triage Mode for AI Safety” by Miles Brundage”, October 27, 2026. Entry in the Ctrl AI Base, https://ctrlai.com/base/alignment-forum-2026-10-27-notes-brundage-triage-mode
Our notesBrundage's quotations are second-hand, via Chris_Leong's excerpt, and the second dates from December 2024, so its date is not the post date. The original essay on Substack was not read.