Samuel R. Bowman · arXiv · arxiv.org
A short, readable list of surprising facts about LLMs: new abilities emerge unpredictably, no technique reliably steers them, and experts cannot yet explain how they work inside.
Worth knowing: Author is affiliated with New York University and Anthropic.
Research paperJan 5, 2024For the curious
Katja Grace, Harlan Stewart, Julia Fabienne Sandkühler, Stephen Thomas, Ben Weinstein-Raun, Jan Brauner, Richard C. Korzekwa · arXiv · arxiv.org
A survey of 2,778 published AI researchers: between 38% and 51% gave at least a 10% chance that advanced AI leads to outcomes as bad as human extinction, amid wide disagreement.
Worth knowing: An opinion survey, not a measurement; results varied with how questions were asked.