Research papers, investigations, explainers, videos, laws and the organizations doing the work, from people who are alarmed and people who are skeptical. New additions are checked by two people before they are listed. The launch collection was compiled with the help of AI research assistants, and every link was opened and checked on 22 September 2026.
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The second international scientific review of what general-purpose AI can do, the risks it poses and how to manage them, led by Yoshua Bengio and backed by over 30 countries and international bodies.
Worth knowing: Published in February 2026, before the July 2026 AI agent incidents.
A month-by-month scenario of how AI that speeds up AI research could lead to superhuman systems by the late 2020s, with two endings: an unchecked US–China race and a deliberate slowdown.
Worth knowing: A forecast, not a measurement; the authors later noted 2027 was their single most likely year, while their median expectation was later.
First report of the UN's independent scientific panel on AI, released ahead of the first UN Global Dialogue on AI Governance; it warns that safeguards are not keeping pace with AI's capabilities.
Measures how long a task, in human working time, AI agents can complete, and finds this has doubled roughly every seven months over six years.
Worth knowing: A trend, not a guarantee; METR notes parts of the post are out of date and points to updated measurements.
Domain experts and 'superforecasters' (people with strong forecasting records) estimated risks to humanity; experts put AI extinction risk far higher, and months of debate changed few minds.
Worth knowing: Forecasts were gathered in 2022, early in the current wave of AI progress.