The BaseEssayLessWrong
The Manifund team scores AI safety milestones
On LessWrong, Caroline Ellison shares the Manifund team's responses to a survey by Scott Alexander asking people to assign point values to AI safety milestones, anchored at 1 million points for a pause with China. The authors say their answers are low-confidence and half-baked.
Why it matters
The same thing, for different readers.
For researchers
The scores show how two funders weigh milestones such as grant ecosystems and a company becoming more alignment-focused, against a pause with China as the anchor.
The record
- Questions
- Are AI companies putting stronger safeguards into practice?
- People
- Caroline Ellison (Wrote it) · Scott Alexander (Mentioned)
- What we read
- We have read only the description the publisher gives. No quotations until someone reads the source itself.
- Found by
- The Radar, run of November 11, 2026, via
lesswrong(tier 1: the source’s own channel or an official record) - Cite this
- LessWrong, “The Manifund team scores AI safety milestones”, November 10, 2026. Entry in the Ctrl AI Base, https://ctrlai.com/base/lesswrong-2026-11-10-manifund-scores-ai-safety-milestones
Our notesLight lane: triage excerpt only. Triage lists Caroline Ellison as author; the excerpt also speaks of Austin as a co-respondent. Ellison's role is not given.